Marty Oelrich

I have a background in behavior prediction and forensic credibility assessment. I spent my first career in forensic credibility assessment, conducting over 5,000 high-stakes examinations with no subpoenas or complaints. I served on the boards of multiple professional organizations and worked extensively in international policy development, training, and education.

Over the last twelve years, as a designer and maker, I've built and operated a handmade lighting and decor company that has maintained 4.99 stars across 2,500+ reviews, a 99.9% on-time ship rate, and a 0.01% damage rate, shipping to all 50 states and 26 countries. Our work has been used on over a dozen networks, in dozens of movies and theater productions, in national and international publications, and in the homes of numerous celebrities. I frequently work with national and international brands.

Credibility is the thread connecting both careers—
measuring it in high-stakes contexts,
producing it operationally,
understanding what it costs.

The framework I've developed treats credibility as architectural: something that can be specified, discovered, built, and measured. The same structure that makes human judgment trustworthy under adversarial conditions is the structure now being sought for artificial intelligence systems. The vocabulary differs across domains—forensic science, psychology, economics, philosophy, computer science—but the underlying architecture is unified.

My current work focuses on building the infrastructure that's been missing: systematic approaches to measuring reliability in human judgment and AI systems alike.